An Analysis of Predictors of College Success and Student Retention Rates
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between the relevance
and significance of key college admission measures on predicting college success and
student retention rates. The key college admission measures that were analyzed
included: high school academic achievement and college admission standardized test
scores.
When analyzing the data from a Midwest Liberal Arts College in this research
study, a multiple regression test was utilized to analyze, examine, and evaluate the data
collected for this study. The sample consisted of 543 students from the incoming 2017
freshmen class of a Midwest college.
When analyzing the collected data, this study found very slight differences
between college admission measures and both student retention rate and college
success rate. The researcher found that high school academic achievement and college
admission standardized test scores were both statistically significant in predicting
student retention rates. Therefore, if a college admissions office accurately evaluates
and selects a prospective student based off their high school academic achievement and
college admission standardized test score, they should be more accurate in predicting a
student’s retention rate.
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